Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 2.486473 2.866314 3.290010 3.798605 4.393791 5.069764 5.897807
2025-04-13 1.846842 2.330110 2.924403 3.713054 4.738260 6.034101 7.809148
2025-04-20 1.597632 2.142628 2.858859 3.877543 5.302932 7.246822 10.133270
2025-04-27 1.373179 1.932529 2.707387 3.872411 5.602659 8.113636 12.099786
2025-05-04 1.243504 1.825081 2.668739 4.000967 6.087348 9.289039 14.689596
2025-05-11 1.113061 1.694020 2.571176 4.016999 6.389636 10.215724 17.030314
2025-05-18 1.005894 1.581705 2.483039 4.027735 6.673337 11.139008 19.505120
2025-05-25 0.891320 1.442245 2.332448 3.911602 6.721181 11.661881 21.350523
2025-06-01 0.826523 1.375336 2.290156 3.969092 7.071087 12.753413 24.419791
2025-06-08 0.776710 1.327187 2.272340 4.064255 7.497334 14.039592 28.086052
2025-06-15 0.720046 1.260398 2.213539 4.075238 7.763265 15.053403 31.372848
2025-06-22 0.658611 1.178334 2.117835 4.003475 7.855237 15.730394 34.055934
2025-06-29 0.612434 1.125863 2.082747 4.069746 8.288146 17.289161 39.294708
2025-07-06 0.550455 1.038018 1.973166 3.978552 8.395096 18.212095 43.383733
2025-07-13 0.525632 1.018384 1.992839 4.155836 9.111577 20.626302 51.729598
2025-07-20 0.485255 0.962575 1.932086 4.150306 9.413196 22.133035 58.133389
2025-07-27 0.462470 0.939807 1.936360 4.288933 10.076736 24.653103 67.986242
2025-08-03 0.431677 0.896440 1.891006 4.306224 10.447113 26.505400 76.453673
2025-08-10 0.403624 0.855684 1.846194 4.317802 10.805112 28.400061 85.603898
2025-08-17 0.368643 0.795744 1.751104 4.192564 10.783060 29.246021 91.690562
2025-08-24 0.349776 0.770054 1.731685 4.254559 11.279322 31.679630 103.793922
2025-08-31 0.334986 0.752081 1.728193 4.357190 11.909086 34.651650 118.742415
2025-09-07 0.316027 0.722218 1.692479 4.369036 12.280076 36.914554 131.877327